The Insurgency Led by Prigozhin: A Threat to Putin’s Rule That He Once Desired

The Insurgency Led by Prigozhin: A Threat to Putin’s Rule That He Once Desired

Putin’s Speech on Prigozhin’s Upri­sing: A Sign of Weak­ne­ss

In a recent speech, Rus­si­an Pre­si­dent Vla­di­mir Putin refer­red to Yev­ge­ny Prigozhin’s upri­sing as „tre­ason.“ Howe­ver, if you belie­ve the sta­te pro­pa­gan­da, it was just a sil­ly prank. Despi­te this, the weekend saw the most pre­ca­rious 36 hours for Putin sin­ce he took power in 2000. Putin, who has always sought to demons­tra­te his strength, has now been wea­k­en­ed.

Dic­ta­tor­ships are often seen as pro­vi­ding sta­bi­li­ty, but this is a mis­con­cep­ti­on. When dic­ta­tors show weak­ne­ss, cha­os can erupt. Putin pro­mi­sed sta­bi­li­ty when he sus­pen­ded term limi­ta­ti­ons in 2020, but the oppo­si­te has occur­red.

Two dates frame this late pha­se of Putin’s rule: the inva­si­on of Ukrai­ne in 2022 and Prigozhin’s upri­sing in 2023. The lat­ter event show­ca­sed the Rus­si­an army’s ina­bi­li­ty to stop the rebels on their way to Moscow, sym­bo­li­zing power­less­ness.

The events of the weekend have left many Kreml­in experts uncer­tain about Putin’s future. While he has maneu­ver­ed hims­elf back into a posi­ti­on of strength befo­re, it will be much har­der for him this time. His image as a mas­ter stra­te­gist and his aura of untouchab­ili­ty have been tar­nis­hed.

Sup­port for Pri­goz­hin was sur­pri­sin­gly high, while sup­port for Putin was small. Pri­goz­hin may not suc­ceed Putin, but his bel­li­co­se man­ner reso­na­tes with many Rus­si­ans. This weekend expo­sed Putin’s offi­ci­al jus­ti­fi­ca­ti­on for the war as a lie.

This weekend has shown that Putin is wil­ling to nego­tia­te when backed into a cor­ner, con­tra­dic­ting the myth of the dan­ge­rous Putin. It has also ope­ned up the pos­si­bi­li­ty of a Rus­sia wit­hout Putin, which was pre­vious­ly incon­ceiva­ble.

It remains uncer­tain when or how Putin’s suc­ces­sor will come into power and what the con­se­quen­ces of Russia’s war against Ukrai­ne will be. Howe­ver, this past weekend in Rus­sia will be remem­be­red in histo­ry.

Source: spiegel.de

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